Week 3 of NFL are posted and commence with what is arguably the most intriguing contenst from a sports betting standpoint. Down to third string QB Jacoby Brissett, the Patriots face a rare game as a home underdog to Houston on Thursday Night Football.
It is the first time since November 2, 2014 that the Patriots were underdogs in Foxboro and just the fifth time since 2002. Technical handicapping pioneer Stevie Vincent of OffshoreInsiders.com says New England is 30-15 ATS in such situations going back to 1990.
All seven times this has happened since 1996, the game has gone under with an average of just 27.5 points per game scored. The average posted total was 41.9. Cleveland is down to third-straight QB Cody Kessler.
Brian Hoyer is another new QB. He is starting for Chicago in place of injured Jay Cutler. Playing on the road on MNF, Chicago is getting +7 at Dallas with rookie QB Dak Prescott.
The early strongest consensus as usual is on a road favorite, with 83 percent of tickets written on the Arizona Cardinals laying -4 at Buffalo. Pittsburgh vs. Philadelphia over is the most popular total getting a stunning 94 percent of bets. Complete odds are below.
The Philadelphia Eagles take on the Chicago Bears to conclude week 2 of NFL betting with Monday Night Football on ESPN. Chicago is -3 with a total of 42.5. However, bettors will have to lay a little extra juice to bet on Chicago, anywhere from -112 to -120. The total is straight across the board. The line opened at the Bears -1 and 43. Stevie Vincent of OffshoreInsiders.com says it was not so much sharp action that moved the line, but the Eagles injury report.
Philadelphia is very thin at DB with Leodis McKelvin now out. Chicago added No. 1 pick Kevin White to play alongside Alshon Jeffrey and many believe this will cause matchup problems for the depleted Eagles secondary. With a database that goes back to 1989, OffshoreInsiders.com reports that winless home favorites are 1-4 against the spread against undefeated teams on Monday Night Football. Ironically the only exception was in 1994 when the Eagles covered against the Bears.
In a rarity, 55 percent of ATS bets offshore and Las Vegas combined are on the underdogs. In what is standard for the public, 69 percent of totals tickets written are on the over.
Spread betting trends (all records are ATS): Philadelphia is 4-1 on MNF, but 4-10 their last 14 on grass. Chicago is also 4-1 on MNF, but 6-19 at home. The underdog is 8-3 in the series.
Totals angles: Philadelphia has gone under 6-0 after allowing less than 15 points in their previous contest, though over 20-7 to teams with a losing record. Chicago has gone under 8-2 on grass.
Top sports service pick is from Joe Duffy. And we win again. Joe Duffy is 13-6 in regular season NFL, fresh off a preseason in which we hit 4-of-5 Wise Guys in a 10-8 overall preseason. MNF side from the Grandmaster at OffshoreInsiders.com
Odds for week 2 NFL football picks are up. It commences Thursday night with the Rex Ryan Bowl as the New York Jets and Buffalo Bills are a pick ‘em. It is a big week for rivalry games as New England is -6.5 at home to Miami. The Patriots are still without suspended QB Tom Brady. In one of the great games of the week, the Cincinnati Bengals are at hated divisional rival Pittsburgh. The Steelers are -3.5 and 48.
The highest pointspread is Carolina -13 over San Francisco. OffshoreInsiders.com reports it is only the fifth time since 1989 that a team has been a double-digit underdog off a 28-point or more win as the 49ers are off a 28-point whitewashing of Carolina. The highest total is New Orleans and the New York Giants at 53. The aforesaid Thursday Night Football Jets-Bills has the lowest total at 40.5. Get the complete rundown.