College football bowl betting is upon us and OffshoreInsiders.com again presents the ultimate betting guide for the 2016-17 bowls.
A stunning 94 percent of totals bets are on the over.
Wyoming is the second best over team in terms of margin, going over 9-4 by 13.7 points per game.
Colorado State’s 10-2 against the spread mark is second in the nation.
Eastern Michigan-Old Dominion
Old Dominion has gotten 77 percent of the spread bets on them, making them one of the strongest public bets of the bowls.
One could argue that NC State has the most deceptive spread record in the nation. Though 8-4 in the back pocket, their Vegas margin is even. Four times, they covered by 4.5 or less, while the Vegas setbacks were by 9, 11.5, 22, and 23 points.
Temple had the best spread W-L record going 12-1, covering by an average of 7.7 points per game.
Baylor has the worst spread numbers of any bowl team, going just 3-9 by an average of -8.7.
Seventy-five percent of wagers offshore and in Vegas on this game are on Washington State.
Pittsburgh is the top over team in the nation, going over 11-1 by a whopping 20.6 points per game. The No. 2 team Wyoming went over by an average of 13.7.
Colorado’s 10-3 against the spread record is third best in the nation.
Washington has a deceptive spread record. Though only 7-6 against the spread, their spread margin is +8.0, third best in the nation.
Western Michigan went 9-4 to the number by an average cover of 8.5, second in the nation.
Penn State is the top spread team in the nation based on margin as they went 9-3 by an average margin of 8.9.
One of the strongest consensus sides and totals are both on this game, with 75 percent of tickets written on Oklahoma and 88 on the over.
• For those who believe high totals benefits the favorites, there is some validity. Favorites of 3.5 or more with a total of 56.5 or more are 60-47 for 56.1 percent.
• Teams that covered 25 percent or fewer of their games in the regular season are 17-9 in bowl games against the spread. That angle favors Southern Miss, Boise State, Baylor, South Alabama, TCU
• Some teams enter the bowls ice-old. Teams that have lost at least 4-of-5 straight up entering the bowls are: Maryland, Central Michigan, Baylor, North Texas, and Wake Forest.
• Baylor is in fact, only the second team to enter the bowls on at least a six-game losing streak, the other being Illinois in 2011. Illinois won and covered. Teams that enter on at last a five-game losing streak have covered all three times since 1992, winning by an average of 11.7 points
• Western Michigan is only the third undefeated team to be an underdog of at least seven points to a team with two or more losses. The previous two split SU and ATS
• Minor bowl games that are expected to high scoring generally are. December games with totals 66.5 or higher have gone over at a 23-11 rate: Central Michigan-Tulsa, Memphis-Western Kentucky, Baylor-Boise State, Northwestern-Pitt
• Likewise December bowls with totals of 50 or less go under at a 38-24 rate: Arkansas State-Central Florida, Ohio-Troy, Boston College-Maryland, Vanderbilt-NC State, Wake Forest-Temple, TCU-Georgia
For all the bowl betting winning picks, check out Joe Duffy, winning since 1988 at OffshoreInsiders.com
Thursday Night Football is here as the Oakland Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs kick of week 14 of NFL betting. Offshore sportsbooks have the point spread posted as Kansas City -3.5 and 46. It has been hanging -3 but with juice ranging from 120-125 before finally moving off the key number. The game opened at -3 and 47. Sharp betting percentages tell us 54 percent are betting on the underdog Raiders, a bit of an anomaly considering how much the public prefers eating chalk. The over is preferred by 61 percent of those who have placed bets, according to date used by football betting podcasts. Check out the video playlist below for free picks and trends on this week's NFL odds.
OffshoreInsiders.com breaks down the match-up using key numbers devoted to by Vegas pregame pros. In comparing yards per rush on offense, the better digits go to Oakland by 4.3 to 4.1. Accordingly, as passing yards per completion on the offensive side of the ball, the plus side is for the Bay Area boys 11.1-9.8. According to yards per point, the most efficient offense of the combatants is Oakland 13.6 to 14.2.
Defensively the stingier team centered on yards per rush calculations is KC by 4.3 to 4.9. The more outstanding defense based on the proviso of yards per pass is the Chiefs by 11.5 to 12.3. The yards per point statistic used by the best pro gamblers says the better defense is KC forcing 19.1 to a mere 15.6 for Oakland.
Who to bet on according to the sharp bettors is from the MasterLockLine. Sports service of out Philadelphia, though best known for being No. 1 all-time in NFL, is also No. 1 all sports since 1998, based on one unit per bet minus the juice. Thursday Night Side and Total Parlay of the Year from one of those sports services you have won with since their scorephone days. This is huge and from a proven legend at OffshoreInsiders.com
Yards per point is determined by dividing total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
Oakland has the sixth best margin of cover, sometimes called the sweat barometer, covering by an average of 2.8 points per game en route to an 8-4 spread mark. KC is barely on the positive side at 6-5-1 by an average of 1.6.
Oakland is the No. 2 over team, going over 8-3 by an average of 6.2 points per game. KC is the 12th biggest under team by 2.2 points per game going under 8-4.
The college football playoffs and lines have been announced. Top seeded Alabama will take on Washington. Ohio State got the final bid as experts agreed it was down to three Big Ten teams: Ohio State, Michigan, and champion Penn State. OSU will take on Clemson. The Crimson Tide open as a prohibitive 13.5-point favorite over Washington, while the Buckeyes are -2.5 over last year’s runner-up Clemson. OffshoreInsiders.com will have all the previews and winners of each bowl game.
Note: the public has bet each favorite up on initial betting as Ohio State is now -3 and Alabama -14.