Divisional playoff round of the NFL, or the second round odds if you will, commence between the Chiefs vs. Patriots with a 4:25 ET kickoff. One of the best Vegas scores and odds contests this week in football is the clash between Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots on CBS.
The current Vegas point spread is New England -5, but as low as -102 on the juice. The total has dropped to 42 as the lines opened at -4.5 and 45.5. The public is only preferring the favorite Patriots by a 53-47 margin, though squares do tend to be willing to bet underdogs the deeper the postseason goes.
Sports betting podcast experts use different key handicapping numbers than the square player. Here is a preview of that game from a handicapping standpoint. In comparing yards per rush on offense, the superiority from a statistical standpoint goes to Kansas City by .9. Passing yards per completion is another gauge utilized by bettors. The advantage is possessed by New England by .9. Possibly the most utilized number by professional bettors is yards per point. From the offensive viewpoint the positive checkmark is in the column of Chiefs by .9.
Now go to the key numbers on the defensive side of the ball. The yards per rush guide says the better run defense is New England by .1. The superior passing yards per completion data on defense give the upper hand to Kansas City by .2. In terms of yards per point, the better defense is KC forcing 1.9 more. The turnover edge is in the hands of the Chiefs as well by 10.
Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
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Spread trends (all records against the spread): Kansas City 9-3 after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game, 1-6 in playoffs. New England 23-7 after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Over/under angles: KC under 23-11 to teams with a winning record. New England over 55-27 to AFC.