Super Bowl 50 has the Carolina Panthers and Denver Broncos. The Panthers are -5.5 point favorites with a total of 45. There are several 6s out there on the side and 45.5 on the total.
Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
Of all offshore and Vegas spread bets, 72 percent of wagers are on the Panthers and 68 percent on the over. According to LateInfo on OffshoreInsiders.com, an even higher percentage of “outlaw bets” with corner bookies are betting on the chalk.
Carolina is 17-1 straight up and 13-5 against the spread. Though most professional gamblers know believing a neutral game is a road contest, the public disagrees. Hence the Panthers are 5-3 against the spread on the highway. They have gone over 12-of-17. Denver is 14-4 straight up and 8-7 where it counts, though 4-2 on the road. They have gone under 11-6, yet 4-4 on the highway.
In comparing yards per rush on offense, the better numbers belong to Carolina by .2. As far as passing yards per completion on the offensive side of the ball, the upper hand is for the Panthers by 1.4. According to yards per point, the more efficient offense is also Carolina by a substantial 4.2
Defensively the more stingy team based on yards per rush is Denver by .7. The superior defense in terms of passing yards per completion is also the Broncos by a slim .1. The yards per point statistic used by the best sports handicappers says the superior defense is Carolina by .9. The turnover department upper hand belongs to Carolina by a stunning 30.
Who to bet on: Joe Duffy’s Picks with the side play up now. There will certainly be some prop bets and possibly the total at sports handicapper headquarters.
Yards per point is determined by dividing total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Carolina 12-2 grass. Denver 3-8 after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game and 1-5 off spread win.
Over/under angles: Carolina over 12-3 after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Denver over 60-28 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.