The Portland Trailblazers are at the Memphis Grizzlies trying to keep their playoff hopes alive. Memphis leads the best-of-seven series 3-1. Memphis is a 5.5-point favorite with a total as low as 189.5. Though that is the most widely available number, some sportsbooks have it as high as 190.5. The side is up since opening at -4 and 191.5.
A stunning 84 percent of bets on this contest have been placed on Memphis. A slight majority of 52 percent prefer the under.
Though 52-34 straight up and 41-44 against the spread, Portland is 19-24 outright and just 18-25 according to sportsbook odds on the highway. Memphis is 58-28 straight up and 44-41 against the spread. The numbers are slightly better at home at 33-10 and 23-19 respectively.
Hence the Trailblazers are -13 units for bettors on the road according to JoeDuffy.net, while Memphis is +10.6 at home. Portland is a slight under team overall at 44-41, but yet on the road they have gone over at a 25-18 proportion. Memphis goes under 47-36 for the season, even more frequently at home at a whopping 27-13 rate. Eleven of their last 14 have gone under the total, five by at least 12.
The Grizzlies had a six-game spread winning streak snapped in the last meeting, which ironically ceased the Blazers seven-game spread setback skid.
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Portland is 0-7 versus an opponent with a home winning percentage of .600 or better, 8-20 in Conference Quarterfinals. Memphis is 7-1 in the series.
Over/under angles: Portland has gone under 7-2 to Southwest. Memphis has gone under 24-3 last 27 at home. The series has gone under 5-1 last six.
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