Chris Paul Injury Status, NBA Handicapping Expert Preview Clippers-Rockets

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Game 1 of the Los Angeles Clippers vs. Houston Rockets has sportsbooks on guard as top bettors led by Joe Duffy's Picks have had another great NBA betting season. The Rockets are six-point favorites with a total of 212. Though the total remained steady, the line has skyrocketed from an opener of three in no small part due to the fact Clippers star point guard Chris Paul in questionable.

As a result, 69 percent of wagers on this game have been on the Rockets, with 70 percent of totals bets on the over. The Clippers are a rare remaining team with a negative net rating as it is -2.3. Net rating is the difference between offensive and defensive ratings points per 100 possessions.

Of course, they had without debate the toughest first-round matchup for any higher seed and one of the toughest in history, knocking off the San Antonio Spurs. Houston is +2.5. Houston is allowing 106.1 points per 100 possessions, only 10th best off all playoff teams while Los Angeles is two notches below at 106.1. LA scores 104.4 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs to 108.6 for Houston, which is fourth best in the postseason.

One could argue that these teams have very deceptive spread marks. Though the Clippers are 41-48 in the back pocket, their margin of cover is +0.8 for the season. Houston seemingly has a great spread mark at 52-35 yet are only +0.3.

The Rockets enter having covered 9-of-12, while LA is 4-7 their last 11. However three of the covers were by at least 11.5. Houston has gone over 8-3 the last 11. The last five overs have been by at least 11.5. LA has gone over 3-of-4 with each over by at last 15, the only under by eight.

Spread trends (all records against the spread): The Clippers are 13-3 on the road, yet 3-7 overall. In fact, the road team is a stunning 20-3 in their last 23 games. Houston is 21-7 at home, 13-3 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Bulls-Cavs total plus the MLB Dandy Dog of the Month tops a fantastic portfolio of winners. We have six in all. Dandy Dogs, which are moneyline underdogs of 140 or more. Jump on board now if you have not already. Why? So many of our great, proven into last century computer systems have to do with how pitchers have done over their previous five starts and those angles are kicking in right now. Yes Wise Guys are the strongest bet on earth, but when they are also Dandy Dogs in baseball, it is truly slam-dunk must bet at

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