The season has begun for a free college football pick, the first of the season on South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt in SEC action on ESPN. Vanderbilt is -4.5 with a total of 42 as the total dropped four points.
South Carolina coach Wil Muschamp notorious for great defenses and inept offenses at Florida and sharps jumped on that by unloading on the under. However very low totals go over at a slim rate. While insignificant and not to the point where betting the over would be profitable, but it should help prevent squares from the kneejerk reaction that a game that has all the appearances of being low scoring automatically means an under. Plus of course, you can’t retroactively bet the 46, though I know some scamming handicappers who will.
Vanderbilt OC Andy Ludwig likes to mix up pace and vary from wide open to pounding football. Truthfully, if the game is low scoring early, especially if Vanderbilt is struggling on offense, take a long look at betting the live line over, because Ludwig will likely pick up the pace.
We believe the Commodores are a great fade live line overreaction. Would-be sharps have Vanderbilt as a surprise team because of what is expected to be a better defense. Vandy is replacing both safeties despite being a chic defense. Vanderbilt is one of those teams that has done more on paper than on field. QB Kyle Shurmur had big HS credentials and some baptism by fire as freshman. But his expected improvement seems to be more assumed than tangibly justified. I am a show me guy and the ‘Dores are not even the better team, much less good enough to be favorites by more than the normal home field advantage.
Free pick: SOUTH CAROLINA +4.5 from Joe Duffy's Picks.
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