Wednesday night football is between Toledo vs. Northern Illinois. Toledo is -7 -105 with a total of 69, both up from the opener of -6.5 and 66.5. Toledo has gotten 70 percent of bets with the over at 68 percent. Toledo is 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS. On the road, they are 3-1 straight up and to the number, going under 3-1. Northern Illinois is 3-6 outright and 4-5 ATS. They have gone over 3-1 at home.
Toledo’s numbers indicate the high total may not be high enough. They get .5 yards per rush above what their opponents normally allow 2.4 more yards per pass, and 1.4 more yards per point. On defense they allow .6 more yards per rush and .9 more yards per pass, coming out to .7 more yards per play.
Northern Illinois gets .8 more yards per rush than foes normally permit, but get .6 fewer yards per pass, amounting to .1 more yards per play. On defense, they hold teams to .4 yards per rush below normal average but are within .1 yards both per pass and per play.
Spread betting trends (all records are ATS): Toledo is 8-1 after allowing 20 points or more last game, 10-2 after getting more than 200 rushing yards last game. Northern Illinois 12-3 off win, 1-6 after accumulating more than 450 total yards last game. Totals angles: Toledo over 5-0 off win of 20 or more. Northern Illinois under 10-1 in November.
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