Thanksgiving football kicks off, literally with Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions. Detroit is -2.5 with a total of 41 to 41.5, but with slightly varying juice. It opened at -3 and 42. Below the norm for investing in favorites, a modest 56 percent of bets are on Detroit with 62 percent on the over. Though that is slightly below Joeybagofdonuts propensity to bet on overs, in reality the public does often bet low totals under.
Minnesota enters 6-4 straight up and against the spread, going under 6-4. Detroit is 6-4 straight up as well, 5-4-1 to the number also going under 6-of-10. The Vikings though just snapped a four-game spread losing streak. Detroit has covered two straight and are 4-1-1 the last six. Detroit has gone under four straight, while the Nordic Explorers have gone over two in a row.
The Vikes are averaging a paltry 2.7 yards per carry to squads generally permitting 4.0 but also hold teams to .7 yards per pass below their normal average and .4 yards per play. Detroit gets .5 yards per pass above than their opponent normally allows but allow .6 more yards per pass than foes average.
Spread betting trends (all records are ATS): Vikings 22-5 off spread win, 37-15 overall. Detroit is 5-0 on fieldturf.
Totals angles: Minnesota over 7-0 road versus an opponent winning home record, under 19-7 to NFC. Detroit over 5-0 on Thanksgiving.
Joe Duffy has winning pick on every college and NFL game on Thanksgiving. At least three are Wise Guys. Why do we say “at least”? Hint, sharps got a Wise Guy on every one. See OffshoreInsiders.com for all the details.