Week 13 NFL picks commences with the Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings on Thursday Night Football. Mike Zimmer, the Vikings head coach, will not be in attendance because of emergency eye surgery.
Offshore sportsbooks have the point spread posted as Dallas -3, but heavily juiced from as low at -113 at Pinnacle, but as high as -125 in many books. The total is 44 with some outlets slightly juiced towards the under. Sharp betting percentages tell us 75 percent of bets are on the Cowboys, no shock considering the public’s predilection to invest in road favorites. Also, 64 percent of tickets have been written on the over, another norm for the industry.
OffshoreInsiders.com breaks down the match-up using key numbers devoted to by Vegas whales. In comparing yards per rush on offense, the better digits go to Dallas by 2.0. Accordingly, as passing yards per completion on the offensive side of the ball, the plus side is for Dallas by 2.6. According to yards per point, the most efficient offense of the participants is Dallas using .7 less. Check out the Odds Couple and the Grandmaster previewing some key games this weekend.
Defensively the stingier team centered on yards per rush calculations is the Pokes, but by a slim .1. The more outstanding defense based on the proviso of yards per catch is the Vikings by .4. The yards per point statistic used by the best pro gamblers says the better defense is Dallas forcing 1.1 more. Turnover ratio is a big edge for Minnesota at +12.
Who to bet on according to the sharp bettors is from the Grandmaster. JDP wins all 12 months, but it is December and March where the coffee brews early and old burns late. We go 6-3 last night. Bookies, this is not the time to be you! Our recent 13-8 performance in football at 61.9 percent, much more in line with our 29-year public winning and more where that came from. Yep, that short-week angle continues to play dividends as it commenced a 4-1 Wise Guy performance in the NFL last week. Get TNF side plus five college basketball and NBA winners all at OffshoreInsiders.com
Yards per point is determined by dividing total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.