Thursday Night Football has both NFL and college bowl action. Week 16 of NFL betting picks commences with the New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles. New York is two-point road favorite with a total of 42, though there are some 42.5s. In what is considered “reverse line movement” the Giants opened as a three-point favorite, yet the line moved against them despite 81 percent of bets on the road favorite. The opening number was juiced to the home dogs as gamblers could get the Giants at -102 if laying the field goal. The debuted total is the same as the current at 42. A small majority of 56 percent favor the over.
Strangely, the Eagles are 6-8 to the number, yet have a +2.4 points per game margin of cover, also known by some as the sweat barometer. Conversely, the Giants have a better spread record at 8-5, but worse margin of cover at .8 in the black. The Giants are easily the top under team in the league, going under 11-3 by a league lead by a wide margin 8.9.
The Idaho Potato Bowl matches Colorado State against Idaho. CSU is -15 with a total of 65. Both are up from opening numbers of -13 and 64. Though the public prefers betting on big favorites, a modest 57 percent of bets are on the Rams, with the usual 76 percent putting their money down on the over. Idaho is 7-4 to the number by 5.4 points per game margin of cover. Colorado State is 10-2, covering by an average of 7.9 points per game, fourth in the nation.
Though CSU totals have split at six overs and unders each, they still go over by an average of 4.8. Idaho has the same 6-6 totals mark, though games have gone under by an average of 2.8.
OffshoreInsiders.com has the strongest side and total in both games. Get the official sports picks preview of both games on the podcast: