This week’s football schedule includes a contest between Cincinnati vs. Memphis. Vegas oddsmakers have the point spread Memphis -10 with a total of 66.5. The public prefers chalk, but only 51 percent are betting the Tigers, while 55 percent are on the over.
In comparing yards per rush on offense, the better numbers belong to Cincinnati by .6. As far as passing yards per completion on the offensive side of the ball, the upper hand is for Memphis by .7. According to yards per point, the more efficient offense is Memphis by 4.5.
Defensively the more stingy team based on yards per rush is the Tigers by 1.4. The superior defense in terms of passing yards per completion Memphis by .7.
The yards per point statistic used by the best sports handicappers says the superior defense is Memphis forcing 2.1 more. The turnover department upper hand belongs to Memphis by eight.
Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
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Yards per point is determined by dividing total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
Spread trends (all records against the spread): The Bearcats 6-1 conference, 3-8 after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Memphis 16-5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 8-21 after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over/under angles: Cincinnati under 11-4 Thursdays.