Stanford-Oregon State Sports Picks Preview to Las Vegas Line

Here is dissection of the key metrics used by sports betting experts in football handicapping in the contest between Stanford and Oregon State. The offshore betting line is Stanford -14.5 and 44.5. The line is down one-point from the opener while the total has remained steady. A stunning majority of 64 percent are betting on the home underdogs, with 75 percent on the over. Cy McCormick of the MasterLockLine says that the public becomes more confident betting on select underdogs after each team has a few games under their belt.

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The team that is better running the ball according to rushing yards per attempt is OSU by 1.3. Passing yards per completion says the more productive passing squad is the Cardinal by 4.7. Betting specialists employ yards per point, a number that on the offensive side of the ball favors Oregon State by 1.2.

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Now it’s time to focus on the numbers that the betting counselors cherish from a defensive standpoint. Yards per rush says the tougher defense is a dead heat. In juxtaposing yards per reception statistics, the margin on defense puts the positive checkmark in the column of Oregon State by 2.2. The often overlooked yards per point defensive advantage is possessed by Stanford by 4.1. The net turnover ratio edge belongs to Stanford by six.

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

Spread trends (all records against the spread): Stanford 21-5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game, 23-11 road, 29-14 conference, 3-7 off spread loss. Oregon State 2-8 overall, 1-6 in conference. Stanford is 5-0 in the series.

Over/under angles: Stanford under 13-4 conference, under 18-6 overall. Oregon State over 8-3 after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

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