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UCLA vs. Arizona College Football Betting Picks Preview

Here is dissection of the key metrics used by sports betting experts in football handicapping in the contest between UCLA and Arizona. The offshore betting line is UCLA -2.5 and 64.5. A decent majority of 59 percent are betting on the home underdog, with 56 percent of bets at offshore and Vegas sportsbooks on the over. The game is on ABC prime-time TV. Also get Rice vs. Baylor betting preview

Now it’s time to focus on the numbers that the betting counselors cherish from a defensive standpoint. Yards per rush says the tougher defense is Arizona by .5.

In juxtaposing yards per reception statistics, the margin on defense puts the positive checkmark in the column of UCLA by 3.5. The often overlooked yards per point defensive advantage is possessed by UCLA forcing 4.9 more. The net turnover ratio edge belongs to Arizona by six.

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The team that is better running the ball according to rushing yards per attempt is Arizona by 1.8 yards per rushing attempt. Passing yards per completion says the more productive passing squad is the Bruins by .5. Betting specialists employ yards per point, a number that on the offensive side of the ball favors Arizona by 4.3. 

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

Spread trends (all records against the spread): UCLA is 3-9 after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. However, Arizona is 19-39 after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and 2-10 on grass. The home team is 9-3 in the series with the favorite 7-1 last eight.

Over/under angles: UCLA has gone under 10-3 road.

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