From the standpoint of the gambler, we take a look at the big contest between Houston Texans vs. Atlanta Falcons. Vegas betting odds in the battle sees Atlanta -6 with a total of 47. The line has remained the same, though the total has risen two points. Seventy percent of bets on the game are on the Falcons against the spread with 66 percent staking on the over.
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Comparing rushing yards per attempt on offense, superiority statistically goes to Atlanta by .2. Next is passing yards per reception making the better squad Atlanta by 2.0. The little-known yards per point has the more proficient unit on offense to be the Dirty Birds by 6.0.
But how do these teams compare defensively? The tally for yards per rushing attempt against gives support to Houston by a gigantic 1.0. Give the positive edge in passing yards per catch to Atlanta by 1.8. Yards per point defensively says the more miserly is the Falcons by .8. Turnovers has the more opportunistic unit being the Birds by four.
The best bet on this game is Joe Duffy is 27-15 in the NFL. We have six winners for Sunday NFL led by two Wise Guys. The first is at 1 ET. The second is the Sunday Night Football NFC Game of the Year. We also have the early morning Major from England Dolphins-Jets 9:30 AM ET at OffshoreInsiders.com
Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Houston is 1-8 on turf, 2-10 off win, 3-13 off spread win. Atlanta is 7-3 after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game, 17-35 after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over/under angles: Houston over 21-7 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, over 8-3 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Atlanta under 28-18 after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.