Sunday Night Football odds has two marque teams for Week 4 picks. Las Vegas oddsmakers have given one of the best betting opportunities for the pick nation to take advantage of this week in football in the fight between Dallas Cowboys vs. New Orleans Saints. The Las Vegas Strip scores and odds are New Orleans -3 -120 and 47.5. Though the public prefers betting favorites, not in this one. A stunning 59 percent of gamblers are betting on the Cowboys with 55 percent on the over. Several NFL free picks are up for week 4 with two betting experts breaking it down. Drew Brees is expected to play and start at QB for New Orleans, while Tony Romo and Dez Bryant are out for the Pokes.
Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports
The most excellent sports handicappers evaluate diverse key handicapping numbers. Here is the probe of that contest from a wagering perspective. To contrast yards per rush on offense, the advantage of betting metrics goes to Dallas by 1.0. Passing yards per completion is another index exhausted by sports investors. The lead is in the column of New Orleans by .4. Perhaps the most made use of performance indicator by Vegas whales is yards per point. From the offensive examination the better statistics are is in the column of Dallas by 3.2.
Insofar as the key records on the defensive side of the ball. The yards per rush guide says the more outstanding run defense is Dallas by .6. The better-quality passing yards per completion data on defense gives the statistical edge to the Cowboys by 5.0. In terms of yards per point, the best defense in the contest is New Orleans by 1.5. Turnover ratio sees the teams dead even.
Yards per point is determined by dividing total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
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Spread trends (all records against the spread): Dallas 5-0 on the road, 9-2 after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, 3-9 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, 1-7 field turf.
New Orleans 16-5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 5-16 after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, 0-6 home. Saints are 7-3 in the series. However the underdog is 9-1.
Over/under angles: Dallas over 7-2 after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, over 7-2 road. New Orleans over 6-1 to teams with a winning record.