Expert sports picks against the spread previews Monday Night Football the Detroit Lions vs. Seattle Seahawks on ESPN.
Real-time odds point spread on this game from Vegas sportsbooks has Seattle -9.5 with a total of 43. However, for those wanting to bet the dog, Detroit can be had at +10 and +120. The total is steady across the board. The betting public is favoring Seattle by a 68-32 margin. Also 65 percent are betting on the over.
Of the two teams, the top offense based on rushing yards per attempt is Seattle by 2.1. Insofar as passing yards per reception (different than passing yards per attempt), Vegas experts edge belongs to Detroit by .5. Yards per point judges the better team on offense as Seattle by 2.3.
Billy Walter’s picks this week should be Joe Duffy’s Picks. Of course I expected the SNF NFC Game of the Year on New Orleans to easier, but bottom line is another winner. Now MNF Interconference Game of the Year is up. Oh wait until you read why it is so strong at OffshoreInsiders.com
Defense who is better at stopping the run? Founded on yards per pass attempt it is a dead heat. Based upon yards per reception, defensively better at stopping the passing game manifests to be yet another dead heat. Last and most definitely not least is yards per point gauging the superior defensive team as Detroit by .2. Turnover statistical supremacy is Seattle by three.
Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
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Spread trends (all records against the spread): Detroit is 7-1 following a double-digit loss at home, but 10-23 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, 1-6 overall, 1-7 road. Seattle is 4-0 to teams with a losing record, 12-3 after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. 34-16 home, but 18-38 in October. The home team is 4-0 in the series.
Over/under angles: Detroit under 11-1 after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, under 9-1 off loss, under 14-3 off spread loss, yet over 34-16 after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Seattle under 7-3 after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.