Week 11 college football continues with two Wednesday night games. We take a look at the big contest between Bowling Green and Western Michigan. Vegas betting odds in the battle sees Bowling Green -2.5 and 73. A modest majority of 63 percent have bet on Bowling Green with 69 percent on the over.
Comparing rushing yards per attempt on offense, superiority statistically goes to WMU by 1.1. Next is passing yards per reception making the better squad Bowling Green by 1.0. The digits says the little-known yards per point has the more proficient unit on offense to be Western Michigan by a slim .1.
But how do these teams compare defensively? The tally for yards per rushing attempt against gives support to Bowling Green by .9. Give the positive edge in passing yards per catch to Bowling Green by 1.8. Yards per point defensively says the more miserly is Bowling Green by .8. Turnovers has the more opportunistic unit being Bowling Green by 9.
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Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Bowling Green is 9-2 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 37-14 following a SU win of more than 20 points. Western Michigan is 9-1 after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game, 11-2 off win.
Over/under angles: Bowling Green over 8-1 after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, under 26-12 after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Western Michigan over 26-10 after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.