Monday Night Football odds are up. Here is dissection of the key metrics used by sports betting experts in football handicapping in the contest between Dallas Cowboys and Washington Redskins.
The offshore betting line is Washington -2.5 and 42. Interestingly the juice varies by -107 to -115 at sportsbooks. The Redskins opened -5, though the total has stayed at 42. The normal betting trends apply here as 69 percent favor Washington and 72 percent the over.
The team that is better running the ball according to rushing yards per attempt is Dallas by .4. Passing yards per completion says the more productive passing squad is Washington by a slim .1. Betting specialists employ yards per point, a number that on the offensive side of the ball favors Washington by 2.4.
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Now it’s time to focus on the numbers that the betting counselors cherish from a defensive standpoint. Yards per rush says the tougher defense is Dallas by .6. In juxtaposing yards per reception statistics, the margin on defense puts the positive checkmark in the column of Dallas by .4. The often overlooked yards per point defensive advantage is possessed by Washington by 1.1. The net turnover ratio edge belongs to Washington by 10.
Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Dallas 8-1 on grass, 10-4 road but 2-7 last nine overall, 0-5 MNF. Washington is 17-39 to teams with a losing record, 7-24 versus an opponent with a losing road record, 3-14 off cover.
Over/under angles: Dallas under 7-1 off spread win, under 30-14 after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Washington under 20-8 versus an opponent with a losing road record.