The sports betting picks guru takes a look at the big contest between the Cincinnati Bengals and Denver Broncos on the final ESPN Monday Night Football game of the season.Vegas betting odds in the battle sees Denver -3.5 with a total of 40, the latter low total certainly in no small part thanks to a battle of backup QBs in AJ MCCarron and Brock Osweiler. There are some -4s out there, so shop around. The game opened -3.5 and 40.5.
The public is favoring the Broncos by a 72 out of 100 ratio with 67 percent expecting it to exceed the low total. Even on the money line, bettors are laying the vig on the favorite Broncos.
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As if bowl winnings have not been enough, we give the official Billy Walters picks betting preview. Comparing rushing yards per attempt on offense, superiority statistically goes to Denver by the slimmest of margins at .1. Next is passing yards per reception making the better squad the Bengals by 1.6, though of course most of that was with Andy Dalton as the signal caller. Intel says the little-known yards per point has the more proficient unit on offense to be Cincinnati by 2.0.
But how do these teams compare defensively? The tally for yards per rushing attempt against gives support to Denver by 1.1. Give the positive edge in passing yards per catch to Denver by .2. Yards per point defensively says the more miserly is the Bengals forcing 4.3 more. Turnovers has the more opportunistic unit being the Bengals by nine.
Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Cincinnati has covered seven straight road games and they are 11-2 overall, Denver is 11-3 off loss and 1-5 on MNF.
Over/under angles: The Bengals have gone under 10-4 on the road, while Denver has gone over an amazing 44-15 off a loss.
The best bet on this game is Joe Duffy’s Picks who is 4-1 lately with football Wise Guy plays, 11-6 with all bowl sides. Both bowl sides Monday, led by Wise Guy and MNF AFC Game of the Year. As if that were not enough, one of the great angles in sports history applies tonight in the NBA. Of course it is a Wise Guy at home sharpest bets for wise guys and whales.