Expert sports picks against the spread previews Nevada vs. Colorado State in the Arizona Bowl tonight at 7:30 ET. Real-time odds point spread on this game from Vegas sportsbooks has CSU -3.5 with a total of 56. This is almost exactly the same as the openers with the total remaining the same and the line was -3 but with -114 juice. Exactly three-fourths of all bettors have Colorado State, with 78 percent plopping funds on the over. Sixty percent of money line wagers are also on the favorites.
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Of the two teams, the top offense based on rushing yards per attempt is a dead heat at 4.8 each. Insofar as passing yards per reception (different than passing yards per attempt), Vegas experts edge belongs to Colorado State by 1.1. Yards per point judges the better team on offense as the Rams by .7.
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Defense who is better at stopping the run? Founded on yards per pass attempt it is Nevada by .1. Based upon yards per reception, defensively better at stopping the passing game manifests to be also Nevada by 2.9. Last and most definitely not least is yards per point gauging the superior defensive team as also dead even at 14.5. Turnover statistical supremacy is Nevada by a jaw dropping 19.
Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Wolfpack are 5-0 off loss, but 1-5 in bowl games. Rams are 17-7 after getting 200 or more rushing yards last game.
Over/under angles: Nevada has gone under 6-0 after scoring less 20 points last game. The series has gone under five straight.